Timestamped conviction · Public record
See it early.
Call it clearly.
Prove it later.
Most people claim they saw it coming. Almost nobody can prove it. Early Insight records the exact moment you made a call — the claim, the reasoning, the conviction — and locks it forever. Over time you build a track record that speaks for itself.
Free · Takes under a minute · No buying, selling or positions — just calls and receipts.
How Early Insight works
Predict → Track → Verify → Prove
One loop, enforced by the database. Nothing about a published call can be rewritten — only the outcome gets added.
Predict
State a measurable claim with your probability locked in — 10% to 100%. The moment you publish, the timestamp and conviction are written permanently.
Track
Follow live readings from real data sources as the event unfolds. Your record shows where things stand at every checkpoint.
Verify
When the outcome is knowable, independent adapters and grounded AI review resolve it against cited sources — never guesswork.
Prove
Every call settles into a Fair Score: 20 × (1 − probability) if right, −20 × probability if wrong. Your track record becomes auditable proof.
The Fair Score
Expected value is zero at any honest probability — so there is no strategy to game the leaderboard. Say 30% and you win +14 if right, lose −6 if wrong. Say 90% and the stakes flip: +2 / −18. Your reward matches how confident you actually were.
Timestamped at the source
The moment you publish, the date and time are written to the record. Being early is only credible if it is dated.
Immutable by design
The original claim, reasoning and conviction can never be rewritten — enforced at the database level, not by policy.
A record that compounds
Accuracy, conviction and resolved outcomes roll up into a public profile anyone can audit.
Track records
Top predictors
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